In this TFF 1. League game on September 22nd, 2023, home team Boluspor emerged victorious, securing a 2-1 win over Tuzlaspor. The game begun with Boluspor dominating in the initial stages, landing their first goal in the 22nd minute. Despite retaining possession for much of the first half of the game, Tuzlaspor could not manage to find the net, and instead found themselves dealing with discipline problems — earning a yellow card in the 15th minute.

As the second half kicked off, Tuzlaspor leveled the scoreline at the 59th minute, injecting a renewed sense of competition into the game. Tuzlaspor, however, failed to maintain this momentum and were shown another yellow card in the 70th minute. Boluspor capitalized on this unrest and quickly responded with a second goal in the 74th minute, bringing the score to 2-1. In the last moments of the game, Boluspor was shown a yellow card at the 95th minute.

In regard to set pieces, both teams made attempts at goal through corner kicks, with Boluspor leading with 5 attempts to Tuzlaspor's 3. However, it can't be underplayed that the tighter defensive lines of Boluspor limited Tuzlaspor's successful infiltrations. This is evidenced by the offside statistics where Tuzlaspor were penalized four times to Boluspor's single occurance.

Taking a closer look at the data, two main factors significantly impacted the match outcome. Firstly, discipline clearly affected Tuzlaspor in this game as their two yellow cards signified disorganization and impacted the team’s overall performance. The first yellow card was particularly detrimental, right after which Boluspor made a successful goal. The inability of Tuzlaspor to maintain calm and calculated control over their gameplay led them into the defensive throughout the game.

Secondly, the timing of Boluspor’s goals also played a vital part in deciding the outcome of the match. Scoring first and right after Tuzlaspor's defeat in discipline, Boluspor further solidified their position with a crucial goal in the second half against a disoriented Tuzlaspor side, further showcasing their abilities to exploit openings.

The data indicates that Boluspor were the better side; more composed, more disciplined, and importantly, more efficient in capitalizing on their opportunities. Tuzlaspor's repeated lapses in discipline and lack of efficiency when in possession proved to be decisive in a tightly contested game. For future bets, such patterns and behavioural factors are definitely worth considering when predicting outcomes and placing wagers on games.

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