This Scottish Championship match on May 5th, 2023, saw Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC host Ayr United FC. In a keenly contested encounter, Ayr United emerged as victors with a 2-1 triumph over the home team.

Goals from the away team came early in the first half and late in the second, keeping the intensity of the encounter high throughout. The early goal by Ayr at the 34:10-minute mark set the tone, forcing Inverness to react. However, it would take them until 81:09 of the game to find an answer. This period of pressure culminated in Inverness scoring the equalizer, only for Ayr United to surge ahead to 2-1 just six minutes later at the 87:39-mark, proving decisively that they had the edge in offensive efficiency.

The home team dominated on corner kicks, by a ratio of nearly 3:1, with eight compared to Ayr United's three. This could suggest a more aggressive approach in the offensive end from Inverness, but their inability to convert these opportunities failed to serve them well in terms of scoring.

Discipline-wise, both teams had to be cautious given the yellow cards given to both sides. Inverness saw two yellow cards - one in the first half at 26:47, and one late into the second half at 93:43, while Ayr United was disciplined with a yellow card at the 88:24-minute mark of the second half. Despite the building tension, both teams managed to keep their composure as the game saw no red cards.

The home team was caught offside twice during the game, while Ayr United maintained their discipline and avoided any offsides, suggesting more careful and tactically planned attacks, which indeed paid off in the end.

Based on this data, two statistical factors stand out as particularly influential in the match outcome. Firstly, Ayr United’s precision and efficiency in turning their goalscoring opportunities into actual goals. Secondly, despite Inverness's aggressive play in terms of corner kicks, their failure to effectively convert these opportunities was another key factor that determined the outcome.

Finally, it's worth mentioning that Inverness's two offsides compared to Ayr's zero also hints at the latter's better organized offensive strategy, which, combined with effective conversion of goal opportunities, won them the day.

In summary, this match was characterized by Ayr United's efficient attacks and excellent discipline, which allowed them to seize the day against a more aggressive but less organized Inverness side.

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