In the fiercely contested Liga de Expansion MX match on 14 April 2023, the home team, CA Morelia SA CV, emerged victorious against the visiting side, Alebrijes de Oaxaca, with a tight score of 2 goals to 1.

The match was notable for a flurry of yellow cards: nine in total were given, with Alebrijes de Oaxaca seeing the larger share, indicating a potentially aggressive defensive play while Morelia maintained a slightly more disciplined approach.

Analyzing the goals, it's clear that the second half was where the offensive strategies shone. Morelia initiated the scoring at the 48th minute, marking an assertive start to the second part of the game. However, Alebrijes swiftly retaliated, bringing equilibrium to the score at 1-1 in the 65th minute. Morelia responded again in the 76th minute, landing the final blow of the game, thereby retaining a one-goal lead till the final whistle.

A critical deciding factor was the significant difference in corner kicks earned by both sides. Morelia managed to secure six, triple the amount that Alebrijes managed, indicating better attacking play with more shots being blocked or deflected out by Alebrijes' defense. This probably enabled Morelia to create more goal-scoring opportunities, directly contributing to their success.

It is also interesting to note that there was a draw in the offside count with both teams caught twice. While this had no direct impact on the score-line, it shows both teams were playing aggressive forward lines that pushed their luck with the offsides rule.

Spurring toward the last minutes, a series of yellow cards were issued to both teams. Notably, within a span of just one second, Morelia received two yellow cards at the 96th minute. This surge of penalties could reflect intensifying pressure and high stakes in the closing stages of the contest. Though, it's noteworthy that this did not ultimately compromise the result for Morelia.

In conclusion, the superior offensive play by Morelia, evidenced by their more significant number of corner kicks, coupled with a slightly more disciplined defense as suggested by fewer yellow cards, proved decisive in this encounter. Despite Alebrijes' aggressive play, they couldn't quite match up to the hosts on this occasion. Thus, for betting analysts, these factors should be critical in assessing future fixtures for these teams.

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