In a thrilling Serie A tie on 29th October 2023, Cagliari made an incredible comeback against Frosinone Calcio, scoring four goals in the second half after being down 3-0.

Frosinone showed their attacking form in the first half by getting two goals at 23:07 and 36:53 respectively, and then added a third soon after the second half began at the 48:31 mark. Despite this impressive start, their defense faltered, allowing Cagliari to score four consecutive goals and secure a victory.

Frosinone cannot blame lack of possession for this turn-around. The data shows they had more on-target attempts with 7 corner kicks compared to Cagliari's 5. However, defensively they seemed to lose discipline in critical moments, reflected in the four yellow cards they picked up, the first coming as early as 25:17 in the first half, and two of them being recorded within a span of 2 seconds at 1:26:49 and 1:26:51 in the second half.

Meanwhile, Cagliari showed strong character to overturn the 3-goal deficit. Their opener came only at 71:16, yet they proceeded to add three more in quick succession at 75:31, 93:16, and 96:12, demonstrating their attacking zeal. This implies a robust team effort under high-pressure circumstances.

Analyzing fouls data, both teams were nearly evenly matched in terms of aggressive gameplay, with Cagliari committing eight fouls and Frosinone seven. However, discipline was a key differentiator with Cagliari picking up just one yellow card compared to Frosinone's four.

In summary, Frosinone's lack of discipline and shaky defense in the second half proved costly, despite their earlier attacking dominance. Cagliari, on the other hand, displayed resilience and maintained their composure even when trailing, qualities fundamental to their remarkable comeback. From a betting perspective, these factors illustrate Cagliari’s late-game potential and Frosinone’s vulnerability after gaining a lead. Future wagers should account for these risks and opportunities.

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