In the heated Liga Nacional match that took place on 4th May 2023 between CD Motagua and CD Marathon, the visitors CD Marathon emerged victorious with a final scoreline of 2-1 despite the home advantage of CD Motagua. This result may have come as a surprise to bettors, given that statistical data points towards a strong and commendable performance by CD Motagua.

CD Motagua showcased commendable desire and drive, as is evident from their impressive figure of 10 corner kicks. This figure is noticeably greater than the 2 corner kicks that CD Marathon had throughout the game, suggesting that a significant amount of the game was played in the forward half of CD Marathon. With possession heavily based upfield, CD Motagua may have been expected to translate these ventures into goal-scoring opportunities. However, the home side managed to score only a single goal.

This could be owed to the effectiveness of CD Marathon’s defence, as reflected in CD Motagua’s zero offsides, indicating a disciplined and well-timed defensive line by the visitor's side. In contrast, CD Marathon was flagged offside once which suggests a slightly more aggressive forward line but in terms of comparing the two teams' performances contradictorily, proved to be more effective.

CD Marathon's strategic concentration combined with sharp execution in the attacking third played a pivotal role in the victory. They scored twice in the second half at 54:22 and 1:19:05, paving their way to a glorious win. CD Motagua's sole goal came too late at 1:36:37, demonstrating a lack of conversion from their numerous advanced runs into the opposition's half.

One striking aspect of the game was the number of yellow cards served. CD Marathon ended the game with an astonishing four yellow cards, reflecting their aggressive and potentially reckless style of play. In contrast, CD Motagua only received two yellows. No red cards were given, despite this being a seemingly tempestuous encounter.

Lastly, an overlooked but significant statistic lies in the timing of the card distributions. CD Marathon's yellow cards were all given in the second half, post their first goal, suggesting a potentially defensive temperament was adopted following their lead, resulting in fouls. CD Motagua's yellow cards were also received in the second half, indicative of a potential increase in intensity and aggression as they strived to level the scoreline.

In summary, although CD Motagua dominated in corner kicks and avoided disciplinary actions better than CD Marathon, the visitors downplayed these statistical disadvantages by leveraging on disciplined defense and precise attack. The late surge that CD Motagua presented was not enough to overturn the tide, leaving CD Marathon to claim the victory on the away grounds. These insights should help bettors in predicting outcomes in future encounters involving these teams.

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