In this Bundesliga face-off on the 6th of May 2023, Hertha showcased resilience and precision to outscore VfB Stuttgart 2-1 at the Olympiastadion Berlin, despite having fewer shots on target.

Marc Oliver Kempf opened the scoring for Hertha assisted by Marco Richter, setting the home team's offense into motion early. The leveler from Stuttgart through Serhou Guirassy assisted by Josha Vagnoman in the 37th minute implied the match was heading towards a hard-fought draw in the first half. However, Florian Niederlechner’s strike, set up by Dodi Lukebakio Ngandoli, put Hertha back in the lead before the break, a lead they maintained till the final whistle.

Statistical breakdown shows Stuttgart outgunned Hertha with a total of 16 shots, versus seven from the home side. Their offensive strategy was aggressive, but lack of clinical finishing resulted in 12 shots off target, leading to only 25% shot accuracy. On the other hand, Hertha displayed a more efficient attacking display by maintaining a 43% shot accuracy, with two out of their three shots on target finding the back of the net.

The foul count also provides considerable insight into Stuttgart's assertive yet ill-disciplined approach. Out of the total 29 fouls committed in the match, Stuttgart accounted for 19, with their midfielder Wataru Endo receiving a yellow card for one of these offences in the second half. Hertha, despite clocking in less fouls (10), accrued a high number of yellow cards (4) indicating a potential risk of losing players to suspension in future games.

Setting discipline aside, Stuttgart led in exploiting set-piece opportunities with 5 corner kicks to Hertha's 3, yet failed to convert these opportunities into goals, reflecting on their need to improve in this area.

In terms of running off the ball and timing, both teams showed weaknesses with Stuttgart being caught offside twice and Hertha once. These offsides potentially cost the teams crucial goal-scoring opportunities.

In conclusion, whilst Stuttgart led in aggression and offensive play, their discipline and lack of precision allowed Hertha to capitalise on their less frequent but effective attacks. This victory for Hertha illustrates the importance of efficiency and accuracy over sheer volume of offense, an invaluable lesson for bettors to consider.

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