The Erovnuli Liga clash between FC Samgurali Tskhaltubo (henceforth referred to as Samgurali) and FC Saburtalo Tbilisi (henceforth referred to as Saburtalo) on the 9th of April 2023 was a tension-filled encounter. The statistical data from the match reveals a lot about the teams' performances, explaining the 2-1 victory for the home side.

In terms of goal scored, Samgurali found the back of the net twice in the second half, with goals at the 52:36 and 77:13 minute mark, building a comfortable lead, whereas Saburtalo only managed a late strike at 95:01 minutes. This obviously played a significant role in the match outcome.

The number of corner kicks is often a good indication of a team's aggression and pressure during a match. Saburtalo delivered more corners with a count of 4, compared to Samgurali’s 2. However, the home side was more effective in utilizing their fewer scoring opportunities to ensure a victory.

Samgurali dominated in terms of discipline as well, totalling three yellow cards to Saburtalo's two. However, the away team pushed it a step further and saw a player sent off with a red card, disrupting their team dynamic and perhaps playing a crucial role in their defeat.

Offsides often tell a story about a team's attacking coordination. Samgurali had a single offside incident, indicating their disciplined forward line and possibly contributing to their effective striking. In contrast, Saburtalo demonstrated excellent defensive discipline with no offsides.

Based on the expected goals from shots on target and tactical aspects like teamwork and goal conversion, Samgurali appears to have been the more successful of the two. Despite less pressure on the opponents' defense as per corner kicks and Saburtalo's red card, Samgurali was able to convert their opportunities, scoring two crucial goals, and eventually bagged the match.

In summary, Samgurali's discipline, tactical awareness, and clinical finishing were key in their victory over Saburtalo. The away team, despite demonstrating defensive discipline, was caught out by Samgurali’s strategic plays, and prematurely losing a man didn't help their cause either. This analysis should provide bettors with a clearer understanding of how the match transpired and the statistical factors that led to Samgurali's win.

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