In a well-contested Ligue 2 match on 25 February 2023, Guingamp fell short against SM Caen, with the final scoreline reading 1-2 in favour of the visitors. SM Caen's early dominance, underlined by their two first-half goals, set the tone for the match, marking a significant advantage that they carried through to secure the win.

Statistically, the decisive moments came early. Caen's first goal at 18:53 revealed a lapse in Guingamp's defense, which struggled to recover as they conceded again at 41:16. This two-goal buffer before halftime was critical, as teams leading by two goals at this stage statistically maintain a substantial win probability.

Guingamp's second-half response, marked by a goal at 53:33, hinted at a potential comeback. However, their momentum was hindered by disciplinary issues, with two yellow cards accumulated within ten minutes early in the second half. These bookings at 52:24 and 61:43 disrupted their rhythm and made aggressive play more risky, reducing their chances of mounting sustained pressure on Caen's defense.

In terms of offensive efforts, parity in corner kicks (2 each) suggested balanced attacking intent from both sides. Both teams also recorded the same number of offsides (2), indicating similar levels of risk-taking in offensive positioning. However, the slight edge in clinical finishing by Caen proved decisive.

Discipline played a critical role in shaping the game’s flow, with both teams receiving two yellow cards each, yet Guingamp's cards had a more notable impact due to their timing. Caen managed to absorb pressure and protect their lead effectively without substantial disciplinary distractions, showcasing better game management under pressure.

Overall, Calen's superior early execution and game management were pivotal in their away victory. Guingamp's efforts in the second half were commendable but ultimately undermined by crucial defensive lapses in the first half and ill-timed disciplinary actions.

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