The Ligue 1 encounter between OGC Nice and Clermont Foot on 23rd of April, 2023 at Allianz Riviera saw Clermont Foot pulling a narrow 2-1 victory against the home side.

The away side started strongly with Muhammed Saracevic putting Clermont Foot in the lead at the 36th minute mark from an assist by Johan Gastien, marking the first significant play of the match. OGC Nice bounced back soon after, with Gaetan Laborde equalizing just four minutes later in the first half. Despite exhibiting a relatively solid performance in the first half, both teams couldn't find a breakthrough to take the lead.

On stats front, notably, OGC Nice dominated the match in terms of attempts both on and off target. The home side had registered 5 shots on target against the away side’s 3 and poured 10 off-target shots that significantly outweighed Clermont's 6. Despite this, Nice failed to capitalise on their opportunities that critically impacted the outcome of the game.

Corner kicks provided a more apparent difference between the two sides, with Nice earning a whopping 6 corners compared to Clermont’s meagre 2. Notably, Nice also committed more fouls with a total of 15 as opposed to 11 from the Clermont side. However, the dominance in areas of shots and corners by Nice didn't translate into goals as the away side emerged victorious.

The second half witnessed a more disciplined game from Nice resulting in just one yellow card awarded to Melvin Michel Maxence Bard in the first half. On the contrary, Clermont accumulated two yellow cards in the second half going to Maximiliano Caufriez and Grejohn Kyei. This display of unnecessary aggression could have led Clermont down to ten men, affecting their performance and potentially the match outcome negatively.

The ultimate decider came in at the 82nd minute when Saif-Eddine Khaoui, assisted by Grejohn Kyei, found the back of the net for Clermont. The late goal clinched the game away from Nice who, despite their superior stats, failed to find another equalizer.

Offsides were evenly split with one each, indicating a high level of discipline in maintaining the back lines from both teams.

In conclusion, despite having more shots, both on target and off, as well as more corner kicks, Nice failed to capitalise. Clermont on the other end were more clinical in their approach, making the most of their fewer opportunities. Discipline remains an area of concern for Clermont, as indicated by their higher yellow card count.

Given these findings, bettors would do well to consider not just possession and territory dominance but also goal conversion efficiency and discipline, which significantly impacted the outcome of this match.

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