In the 1. HNL match on the 20th of May, HNK Orijent 1919 suffered a home defeat at the hands of NK BSK Bijelo Brdo, who edged out a narrow yet decisive victory. The statistical analysis of the match outcome exposes some key factors that determined the match.

The only goal of the match was scored by the away team late in the first half, precisely at the 7th minute. This early goal possibly allowed NK BSK Bijelo Brdo to adopt a more defensive strategy for the rest of the match, putting the home team in the pressured position of pushing for an equalizer.

HNK Orijent 1919 struggled to pierce through the solid defensive line of NK BSK Bijelo Brdo. This is evidenced by the minimal corner kicks that the home team was granted, only 3, compared to the 5 awarded to the away team. Corner kicks are generally indicative of the amount of pressure a team has been able to put on their opposition's defense, and this low number suggests the home team's offensive struggles.

Furthermore, the discipline of the teams can also be considered when discussing the result of the match. The away team collected 3 yellow cards, including two in the second half which may have caused them to play slightly more cautiously than usual for fear of incurring any red cards. The home team was more disciplined however, collecting only one yellow card late in the second half, but did not manage to use this to their advantage to change the outcome of the game.

The problem of offside was not significant for either side in this game with the home team being caught out once, while the away team was disciplined enough to avoid being called offsides entirely. This also provided less opportunities for the home team to score through counter-attacks, possibly affecting the match outcome.

In conclusion, the match between HNK Orijent 1919 and NK BSK Bijelo Brdo was closely contested. The early goal by the away team and their effective defensive strategies were major factors that tilted this game in their favour. Additionally, the higher number of corner kicks won by the away team implies they exerted more pressure offensively, and despite the home team having a better discipline record, they were unable to turn this into an advantage that changed the outcome of the match. The statistical factors indeed shed light on how the game was played and ultimately won by NK BSK Bijelo Brdo.

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