In the Serie B match held on 18 September 2024 between Guarani SP and Mirassol FC, Guarani SP secured a narrow 1-0 victory, with the decisive goal coming from a first-half strike at the 47th minute. This early goal set the tone for the rest of the match, providing Guarani with a psychological edge over their opponents. Both teams displayed a defensive approach, with the home team managing to maintain their lead despite various pressure points throughout the match.

Guarani SP’s defense played a critical role in their victory, managing to repel numerous attacks from Mirassol FC. The slight difference in corner kicks (Guarani SP with 3 to Mirassol's 4) demonstrated that Mirassol was more aggressive in trying to find an opening. However, the lack of precision in their finishing was evident, with the shot conversion rate being significantly low. Guarani's goalkeeper also played a pivotal role, making several critical saves to preserve their lead.

The match was notably physical, featuring seven yellow cards in total, highlighting an intense battle in the midfield and defensive zones. Guarani SP accumulated four yellow cards, primarily in the second half, which could have impacted their defensive strategies and decision-making processes. Mirassol FC, on the other hand, received three yellow cards, with an almost identical pattern of disciplinary issues arising in the final moments of the match.

Substitutions and tactical adjustments were less impactful in altering the game's flow, as both teams focused on maintaining their structures rather than pushing for adventurous changes. The high frequency of yellow cards towards the end, particularly the chain of bookings at the 98th minute, suggests rising tensions and a desperate push by Mirassol FC to equalize, countered by robust defensive measures from Guarani SP.

In conclusion, Guarani SP's early goal and cohesive defensive performance were the defining factors of their victory. Statistical analysis highlights their ability to maintain composure under pressure and capitalize on Mirassol FC's inability to convert opportunities, substantiating the match's critical moments and overall outcome.

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