In this intense Campeonato Paulista A2 match that took place on January 18, 2023, the home team, Gremio Novorizontino, demonstrated superior offensive and defensive performance, defeating Atletico Monte Azul 2-1.

The first half saw both teams scoring, with Gremio Novorizontino netting the first goal at 20:47. However, Atletico Monte Azul quickly responded by leveling the score at 26:34. This rapid-fire exchange highlighted the strong offensive fronts of both teams early in the game. The discipline of both teams was questioned, as away team received two yellow cards within the interval of 2 minutes and eleven seconds and the home team received two yellow cards with an interval of 11 minutes and 20 seconds within the first half.

The second half saw Gremio Novorizontino take the lead with a goal at 51:34. The goal not only boosted the morale of the home team but also showed their resilience and ability to recover. Novorizontino received their third yellow card shortly after their second goal, signifying a tougher and more aggressive gameplay as they worked to maintain their lead.

Statistically, Gremio Novorizontino dominated the game by capturing more opportunities to attack through corner kicks, recording nine against Atletico's two. This clearly indicates that Gremio Novorizontino controlled the ball more and spent a large part of the game in the opponent's half.

While Atletico Monte Azul, had one offside compared to the home team's none, indicating tactical flaws in their game strategy. Their discipline was also worrisome, receiving two yellow cards within close succession in the first half. These infractions and offsides can disrupt the team's flow and may have contributed to the overall outcome.

In conclusion, the home advantage to Gremio Novorizontino seemed evident, they managed to capitalize on their strengths and maintain better control of the ball more. Their fervor and discipline in the second half are key aspects that secured their win. It's evident that Atletico Monte Azul's performance was marred by poor coordination, indicated by their offside and fouls, which, coupled with their difficulty maintaining possession, may have tipped the scales in favor of Gremio Novorizontino. Their lack of corner kicks suggests lesser attacking chances created.

For future games, bettors will keenly observe Atletico's discipline and ball possession strategy based on the learnings from this match, while Gremio Novorizontino would be expected to continue leveraging their strengths while keeping their fervor in check to avoid unnecessary card situations.

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