In the match of the Campeonato Mineiro 1.Division held on 21st January 2023, Atletico MG performed better and emerged the victors with a 2-1 win against Caldense MG at home.

Analyzing the critical incidents of the match, Atletico MG scored the opening goal at the 25:59 mark of the first half. Caldense MG rebounded quickly, equalizing the score six minutes later at 31:54. However, Atletico MG took the match into their hands again with a second goal scored in the second half's 71st minute.

A look at the infraction statistics shows a fairly competitive match with numerous interruptions. Caldense MG accumulated four yellow cards, significantly more than Atletico MG's three. Two of these cards were handed out within a 16-second span in the first half. This not only disrupted Caldense MG's rhythm but also foreshadowed a tactical downfall, as eventually, Caldense MG faced a red card situation further distressing their gameplay with only ten players on the field.

Moreover, Atletico MG was superior in implementing set-piece strategies, with six corner kicks against Caldense MG's three. However, both teams were on par regarding offsides, with only one recorded for each side, indicating commendable tactical discipline.

In terms of substitutions, the dataset doesn't provide specific insights. However, the impact of these changes could be inferred from the timing and the context of the substitutions made.

In conclusion, Atletico MG appeared more effective and efficient compared to Caldense MG. The home team capitalized on Caldense MG's disciplinary issues and utilized their set-piece opportunities optimally to secure a win. The crucial turning point was arguably the additional discipline-related issues faced by Caldense that saw them playing with a man less, ultimately tilting the match in favor of Atletico MG. Consequently, bettors cognizant of disciplinary records and a team's efficacy with set-pieces could have made informed bets on this match-up.

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