In the Campeonato Matogrossense match on 02 February 2023, Cacerense EC secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Mixto MT, with the decisive goal arriving early in the first half at the 32:11 mark. It was a game characterized by physicality and indiscipline, which significantly influenced the match's flow and outcome.

Analyzing the match statistics, Mixto MT had a substantial advantage in corner kicks, accruing 10 compared to Cacerense's 2. This indicates that Mixto applied consistent pressure, particularly through set-piece opportunities, but they failed to capitalize on this dominance in offensive territorial advantage. Despite this pressure, Mixto MT had massive issues breaking down a resolute Cacerense defense, suggesting inefficacy in their set-piece execution or the away team's defensive organization.

The disciplinary record plays a crucial role in this analysis. Mixto MT received 2 yellow cards and ultimately suffered 2 red cards, leading them to finish the match with nine players. On the other hand, Cacerense accumulated 3 yellow cards and one red card, thus ending with ten men. The red cards drastically shifted the dynamics, with Cacerense's ability to maintain defensive solidity despite being a man down being a testament to their disciplined teamwork and strategic focus on defense.

Substitution tactics also played their part, although detailed data on substitutions isn’t provided. Strategic substitutes likely aimed at shoring up the defense and maintaining game control would have been key in Cacerense's strategy once down to ten men. Mixto MT’s persistent aggression, reflected in the high number of fouls, might have hampered their rhythm, leading to the lack of finishing in their numerous corner opportunities.

This match underscores the impact of disciplined play and the effectiveness of seizing early opportunities. For Mixto MT, the failure to convert set-piece dominance into goals and the loss of players due to reckless challenges were pivotal in their defeat. Conversely, Cacerense EC’s disciplined defensive performance, maintaining focus amidst a high foul count, and capitalizing on an early goal sealed their victory. For future bettors, this match highlights the importance of considering disciplinary records and set-piece efficiency when predicting outcomes.

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