The match between Cacerense EC and Nova Mutum EC on 12 February 2023 ended with a narrow 1-0 victory for the home side. One of the critical factors in Cacerense EC's win was their defensive solidity, despite facing a high number of corner kicks from Nova Mutum. While Nova Mutum managed to secure eight corner kicks compared to Cacerense’s two, they failed to convert these set-piece opportunities into goals, indicating a lack of efficiency and perhaps a well-organised defensive effort from Cacerense.

Cacerense EC's offensive strategy relied heavily on precise execution, which paid off in the second half with the game's only goal scored at 01:00:27. This was enough to secure the victory, reflecting a clinical approach in front of goal. In contrast, Nova Mutum's inability to break the deadlock, despite having several attempts, suggests inefficacy in their attacking department. The 15 fouls committed by Nova Mutum indicate a lack of discipline and perhaps a reaction to Cacerense's defensive resilience.

The disciplinary records shaped the match dynamics significantly. Nova Mutum EC received three yellow cards in the first half, two within the first 20 minutes, hindering their ability to play aggressively and putting them at risk of further disciplinary action. This undoubtedly affected their overall gameplay and possibly their approach in the second half. Cacerense EC, with two yellow cards, managed their composure better, helping them maintain a structured defensive line throughout the match.

Substitutions and strategic adjustments appeared to play a minor role, with the statistical focus remaining on disciplined play and set-piece defense. Overall, Cacerense EC's win can be attributed to their effective defensive strategy, judicious use of key moments to score, and superior management of on-field conduct, contrasted by Nova Mutum EC's profligacy in attack and disciplinary lapses.

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