This match on 25 January 2023 at 22:00 EEST for the Campeonato Catarinense Serie A between Hercilio Luz FC and Avai FC was a great spectacle for football bettors and enthusiasts, filled with action, suspense and bursting with tactical decisions, creating a tense atmosphere that would only be broken by one goal secured by the home team.

Hercilio Luz FC, the home team, snatched victory with a single goal against Avai FC, breaking the deadlock just over an hour-and-thirty minutes into the second half. A decisive moment that favoured the bettors who had backed Hercilio Luz FC, with their solitary goal against their rivals being the only one scored in the match.

Importantly, this decisive goal came after a string of yellow cards awarded to Avai FC. It is likely that the high number of penalties exerted considerable pressure on the away team. Avai FC received six yellow cards throughout the match, four of them in the second half, with the last one given just minutes before Hercules Luz FC’s goal. This succession of penalties culminated in a red card, reducing Avai FC to ten men and giving Hercules Luz FC a numerical advantage which they went on to capitalise on.

Beyond these impactful disciplinary actions, the use of corner kicks further highlights the difference in tactics employed by both sides. Hercilio Luz FC managed two corner kicks - double the number of their rivals, a stat highlighting their aggressive play and territorial dominance. This ultimately translated into the only goal of the match.

The team strategies are further exemplified by the number of offside calls. Hercilio Luz FC had a high number of offsides (6), which suggests an aggressive attacking style and a high line of play, a risk that fortunately paid off for them in the end. In contrast, Avai FC received none, indicating a more cautious, defensive approach that unfortunately did not serve them well in this game.

In conclusion, the victory by Hercilio Luz FC was determined not only by their on-target strike but also by their aggressive and attacking play, compared to Avai FC’s more conservative approach. The disciplinary actions, particularly the sequence of yellow cards, importantly affected the rhythm, dynamics, and outcome of the match. As such, it presents a straightforward case to bettors to consider not just the goals but also the disciplinary data when calculating the odds.

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