This match, held in the Campeonato Brasiliense Serie A between Samambaia FC and Paranoa EC, turned out to be a close encounter but ultimately ended with a narrow 2-1 victory for the away team, Paranoa EC.

In terms of goal scoring, the early strike from Paranoa EC at just over 6 minutes shaped the tone of the match initially, marking their aggressive intent. However, Samambaia FC did well to recover and equalize at the 22nd-minute mark, bringing the game back on level. The decisive goal, unfortunately for the home team, was scored by Paranoa EC deep into the second half, establishing their lead that lasted until the final whistle.

Analysing the disciplinary actions during the match, it's worth noting that Paranoa EC received twice as many yellow cards as Samambaia FC, reflecting a higher level of aggression and potential foul play. This could have put them at risk for a sending-off, which would have drastically changed the dynamic of the game.

The yellow cards count implies that the away team’s aggressive tactics might have played a role in controlling and shaping the game's rhythm, thereby contributing to their eventual victory. But it also hints at a certain level of recklessness, as one more yellow card would have resulted in a red card, and put the team at a player disadvantage. Still, it’s important to note that these disciplinary measures didn’t linearly translate into goals for Samambaia FC.

The corner kicks, 5 to Samambaia FC and 6 to Paranoa EC, give an insight into the attacking gameplay of both teams and how often they managed to penetrate the opponent’s defence. Neither of the teams managed to create significant opportunities or decisive actions from these set pieces. However, Paranoa EC maintained a slight upper hand.

Final thoughts – this was a closely contested match with both teams demonstrating competitive gameplay. The difference in strategies is evident: Paranoa EC adopted a more aggressive approach that paid off in terms of goals but also manifested on the disciplinary front. Samambaia FC, despite a fewer number of yellow cards and nearly equal corner kicks, couldn't convert these into more goals. This match serves as a good lesson to the bettors about considering not just clean statistics but also playstyles and behavioural aspects.

Truly, football isn’t always a numbers game. Strategy and execution can indeed tip the scales dramatically.

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