In the Primera Nacional match that took place on March 12, 2023, AA Estudiantes exhibited their tenacity over Guillermo Brown with a final score of 1-0. The data provides an edifying narrative of the game's flow and reveals significant statistical factors that led to the ultimate outcome.

AA Estudiantes only needed 23 minutes into the first half to break the deadlock. This decisive goal was the sole scoreline, bringing the away team the victory. A salient factor was the away team's superiority in corner kicks (5) compared to Guillermo Brown's (4). Such superior ball control might have contributed to AA Estudiantes's capability to control the turf and maintain their lead.

Guillermo Brown, on the other hand, did not take full advantage of their home ground. The absence of goals from the home side demonstrated a dearth of effective strikes, proving detrimental to their match outcome. Their discipline on the field was a serious concern, evident in their four yellow cards, one red card, and no goals scored. Notably, two out of these four yellow cards appeared in a span of just two minutes in the second half (from 01:34:40 to 01:34:42). This fact highlights a collapse in defense and discipline, which could have disrupted their concentration and ultimately hampered their performance.

Contrarily, AA Estudiantes managed to keep their composure throughout the game, maintaining better discipline with only two yellow cards and no red cards. This control likely contributed to their defensive solidity and helped them hold on to the lead.

In summary, AA Estudiantes’s early goal, their control on set-pieces, and disciplined performance combined to forge their victory over Guillermo Brown. On the other hand, Guillermo Brown's inability to convert their chances, combined with a lack of discipline on the field, was largely responsible for their defeat.

This analysis serves as a reminder to bettors that while goals indeed determine the final match result, an in-depth understanding of factors such as discipline, control over set-pieces, and the timing of critical match events (like yellow and red cards) can provide a more robust prediction for future outcomes.

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