The match between CA Brown Adrogue and Quilmes AC in the Primera Nacional was an engaging face-off, and the scoreline only tells a small part of the story. Here we unfold a detailed analysis of the match played on 11th March 2023, providing an insightful coverage for football bettors based solely on statistical factors.

CA Brown Adrogue took the lead early in the game with a goal at 12:09 of the first half. The goal proved to be the difference as the battle between the teams remained goalless for the rest of the match. So, in terms of goals scored, the home team carried the advantage.

Looking deeper into the team's performance, Quilmes AC underperformed in terms of offside discipline compared to CA Brown Adrogue, who managed to stay onside twice as much with a count of 4 compared to Quilmes AC’s 2.

Despite having fewer offside calls, Quilmes AC’s indiscipline was exposed when they received a red card, an event that certainly affected the team's morale and coordination, paving the way for CA Brown Adrogue to secure their lone goal lead.

Another interesting statistic was the corner kicks. Quilmes AC had an advantage with four corner kicks as compared to three for CA Brown Adrogue. However, the home team displayed better effectiveness from set pieces, as the away team couldn’t capitalize on their increased number of corner kicks.

In the yellow card department, the teams were evenly matched each receiving one yellow card. The home team's booking occurred at 51:52 of the second half while the away team's player was shown the yellow card at 75:25 of the second half. These bookings did not critically impact the outcome of the match as both teams were level in this aspect, and the bookings were not transformed into red cards which would significantly impact a team.

For bettors, this game served as an example that statistical dominance does not always translate into winning results, as Quilmes AC’s superior corner kicks didn’t yield any additional goals. Furthermore, betting against teams who display disciplinary issues might be favourable, as evidenced by Quilmes AC’s downfall due to the red card.

In conclusion, the home team's early goal, combined with the disciplined display and the advantage gained from the opposition’s red card, were the key factors leading to CA Brown Adrogue’s victory. It urges a focus on factors like goal timing, disciplinary records, and effectiveness of set pieces when making future bet placement decisions.

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