The match between Saint Kitts and Nevis and Guadeloupe on 7 September 2023 in the CONCACAF Nations League was highlighted by an intense and tactically rigorous competition. However, the data indicates that the discipline, precision, and effective utilisation of opportunities by Guadeloupe defined the outcome of the 1:2 away win.

The flow of the game was intense and physical, as evidenced by the total of nine yellow cards issued during the match. Saint Kitts and Nevis amassed six yellow cards in contrast to Guadeloupe's three. The disciplinary dynamic significantly influenced the control and strategy Saint Kitts and Nevis could maintain, especially considering the added detrimental effect of receiving a red card. This reduction to ten men presumably led to a more defensive tactic and less offensive pressure, which in turn provided Guadeloupe with the opportunity to secure the decisive goal.

Scoring-wise, the goal distribution offers keen insights. Guadeloupe was quick on the offensive, netting their first goal at 25:01 minutes into the first half. Saint Kitts and Nevis then responded with a goal at 46:06 minutes, ensuring a balanced tie at the half-time mark. However, Guadeloupe’s decisive goal came 76:26 minutes into the match, capitalising on Saint Kitts’ jeopardised formation following their red card.

The match data also indicates a relatively balanced distribution of corner kicks, which often suggest offensive prowess and pressure on the opposing team’s goal. There were a total of seven corner kicks, with slightly more awarded to Guadeloupe. However, the 4 to 3 ratio denotes a fairly even competition through this lens.

In total, the blend of disciplinary influence, the timing of scoring, strategic adjustments catalysed by Saint Kitts’ red card, and a near-equitable corner kick metric, solidified the underlining narrative of this match. Guadeloupe’s strategic utilisation of opportunities and maintaining disciplined football has proved to be their effective formula for securing the important away victory.

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