In the recently concluded Africa Cup of Nations football match on January 24, 2024, Morocco emerged victorious over Zambia with a 1-0 win. From a statistical perspective, this win could be attributed to various key factors that mainly highlight Morocco's solid defence despite their higher count in fouls.

Looking at the goals, Morocco scored the solitary goal of the match in the first half at the 37th-minute mark. This early goal proved to be a winning edge, setting the tone for the rest of the match and compelling Zambia to play catch-up. However, Zambia failed to capitalise on any opportunities to equalize, resulting in a win for Morocco.

Zambia performed poorly in corner kicks with a total of just three, compared to Morocco's seven. These statistics suggest that Morocco applied more offensive pressure, creating more chances for themselves. However, both teams were found wanting in offside traps, with each tallying one offside offence, pointing towards a similar style of high-linear defensive play.

Morocco's feistier approach to the game was evident from the higher number of fouls they committed. They recorded 15 fouls, considerably more than Zambia's nine. Moreover, Morocco received a yellow card in the second half at the 80th-minute mark. Despite this, it did not impact their game negatively, illustrating effective management of the team despite disciplinary woes.

Our analysis indicates that Morocco's aggressive play and superior exploitation of set-pieces like corner kicks had a significant impact on this match's outcome. Balancing this aggression with disciplined play (exemplified by no red cards) also played a part in Morocco's victory.

Conversely, Zambia's inability to optimally take advantage of their fewer fouls and no yellow cards is a reflection of their ineffective strategy and lack of efficient scoring opportunities. Their performance on corner kicks also suggests less offensive pressure and fewer scoring opportunities, which, coupled with Morocco's early goal, resulted in their defeat.

This match underlines the necessity of optimal exploitation of set-pieces, offensive pressure balanced with disciplined play and effectual responses to early goals - factors that future bettors should definitely take into account when placing their bets.

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