Liverpool vs Aston Villa 3/1 Bet Builder | Value Bet Spotter

First of all, a pattern that continues to emerge this season is the likelihood of Mo Salah having 3 or more shots. This has now won in 13 of the last 15 games he's played for Liverpool. In this exact fixture last season, Salah had 4 shots, with 3 of them on target.

Next up: we expect both teams to be shown at least one second half card each. In games involving Aston Villa, both teams have been booked in the second half in 8 of the last 9 games. In fact, games involving Aston Villa this season are averaging over 3.5 second half cards per game.

We expect Aston Villa to have at least 9 shots. While that does sound like a lot, Liverpool have now conceded 9 or more shots in 8 games in a row, including against the likes of Crystal Palace and Bologna. Aston Villa have had 9 or more shots in 4 of their last 5 games against Liverpool, including 19 in the last time they met.

Finally, while we do expect Villa to be strong opponents this weekend, we expect Liverpool to have just enough quality to get the win. Remarkably, Liverpool have now won an extremely impressive 11 of their last 12 games. On top of this, Liverpool have won 6 of the last 8 games vs Aston Villa in all competitions, and are unbeaten in all of them.