Aston Villa vs Man City 16/5 Bet Builder |
Value Bet Spotter

First of all, we expect both teams to score here. Simply put, both sides have leaked goals galore in recent months, while also finding a way to score themselves. Aston Villa have scored in 11 of their last 14 league games. Manchester City have scored in 16 of their last 19. Both teams have scored in six of the last seven head-to-heads.

Next up, we expect John McGinn to have at least one shot. Remarkably, McGinn has managed at least one attempt in 13 games in a row for club and country, including against the likes of Liverpool, Chelsea and Juventus. We expect him to get at least one shot here against a City side that conceded 22 shots in this exact fixture last season.

Another stat we love is Manchester City over 9.5 second half booking points. Villa's opponents have now had at least one second half yellow card in 21 of their last 23 games. City's discipline has also come under question recently, they've now been shown at least one second half card in nine of their last 11.

Finally, we expect Villa to have at least three second half corners. They've now had three or more second half corners in 10 of their last 11 league games. This is the 'riskiest' aspect of this builder, but Villa managed five second half corners away to Liverpool & four away to Chelsea.

*Odds correct at the time of writing. 18+ only. GambleAware.